Thursday, March 19, 2009

2009 NCAA Tournament Predictions

Just the upsets until the Elite 8. More conservative this year.

First Round
Midwest
10 USC over 7 BC - I like USC's athleticism and several key players have significant Tournament experience
9 Sienna over 8 Ohio State - A top mid major will hopefully beat a mediocre power team
West
11 Utah State over 6 Marquette - My argument is: take the best player off of Marquette and Utah State is better
East
11 VCU over 6 UCLA - Eric Maynor will take over the game with help from Sanders
9 Tennessee over 8 Oklahoma State - Combination of an inconsistent State team and Tenn's Jewish coach
South
12 Western Kentucky over 5 Illinois - A Tournament tested team will do it again
11 Temple over 6 Arizona State - State's unique style worries me, but Christmas is quite a player
9 Butler over 8 LSU - Butler's been there before, LSU hasn't since '06
Bold

Thrilling 32
Midwest
10 USC over 2 Michigan State - Athleticism beats toughness here
6 West Virginia over 3 Kansas - The young Kansas players might overlook a veteran group
West
11 Utah State over 3 Missouri - Utah State would be ranked higher if in a power conference, Missouri is overrated
East
5 Florida State over 4 Xavier - A tough one, but Douglass is a star and has faced tougher matchups than has Xavier
South - None

Sweet 16
Midwest
4 Wake Forest over 1 Louisville - Once L'ville faces a good team, not having a natural pg will hurt
West - None
East
3 Villanova over 2 Duke - Duke won't be able to stop the barrage of guards the Cats possess
South
3 Syracuse over 2 Oklahoma - 'Cuse has shown heart, Oklahoma has slowly faded

Elite 8
Midwest: 6 West Virginia over 4 Wake Forest - Tournament experience + talent = a win
West: 2 Memphis over 1 UCONN - Memphis has a chip from last year and UCONN has Dyson hurt
East: 1 Pittsburgh over 3 Villanova - Big East battle sees Pitt too strong down low
South: 1 UNC over 3 Syracuse - Syracuse is weak up front

Final Four
2 Memphis over 6 West Virginia - Too much talent
1 Pittsburgh over 1 UNC - Too tough and too balanced

Championship
2 Memphis over 1 Pittsburgh - Won't lose two in a row

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