Thursday, November 21, 2024

The Department of Government Efficiency Instantly Kills Promise

The advisory committee, called the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), is a good idea led by successful businesspeople Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy. Unfortunately, the pair is hellbent on haranguing federal workers and committed to blanket policies of rolling back "federal regulations," buzzwords that could mean anything.

The government has some inefficient regulations. At NIH, HR decides which scientists are qualified to be certified instead of the scientists who actually know the science. That's inefficient and the kid of stuff that should be changed. 

Most federal workers take pay cuts to work for the government out of duty to country and belief in a noble cause. Some do take advantage of the job security and don't carry their weight. It can be hard to get rid of them. The president, however, shouldn't have that authority, but their apolitical direct bosses should. The government, of course, doesn't want to be tied up in ongoing litigation, but empowering those managers is one way to make the government more efficient.

Instead, Musk and Ramaswamy have called for federal workers to go back to the office five days a week. This is the opposite of the supposed innovative ideas one would believe they'd bring to the table. A recent study by Nicholas Bloom argues that a hybrid system is far more effective and efficient than forcing workers into the office five days a week. The report states, "[H]ybrid working improved job satisfaction and reduced quit rates by one-third. The reduction in quit rates was significant for non-managers, female employees and those with long commutes."

Musk and Ramaswamy don't seem to be interested in actually making government more efficient. They want to force essential workers out by making their jobs more difficult and less enjoyable. The problem is the U.S. government, despite its faults and bad reputation, does a tremendous amount for its citizens. Michael Lewis, in his book The Fifth Risk, explains what different agencies actually do and how that helps Americans and saves lives.

DOGE, which is not an actual government agency, seems set up to be a missed opportunity. The workers themselves should be surveyed for the inefficiencies with which they have to deal and those inefficient regulations can then addressed, not a heavy-handed approach from a couple of ideological outsiders. 

Friday, November 15, 2024

Trump and an Uninformed Electorate

A twenty year old, mostly dormant blog isn't going to slow Trump's march towards turning this country into his own personal fiefdom at the expense of all Americans, including his supporters. But it might help me process what has happened.

Why did Donald Trump win, even after inciting an insurrection, being convicted of felonies, facing two impeachments, and all his other excesses? It was combination of factors with one that stands out above all the rest.

There is a segment of voters who would've voted for a Democrat who wasn't a woman or of black and Indian descent. It might have been large enough to swing the election. Kamala Harris was also at a significant disadvantage jumping in the race three months before the election. Trump has been running for nine years, which makes it harder for others to define him. Harris, who ran as a centrist, was more easily defined as a radical leftist by Trump. Both points suggest it would've been wiser for the Democrats to stay with Biden, who actually won the primary, than to switch to Harris. Biden may not have won, but he wouldn't have done any worse.

The biggest issue is with the electorate. There are far too many low information voters. That allows Trump to get away his constantly lying. Voters don't know enough not to believe him. It enabled Trump to define Harris as a radical leftist despite all evidence to the contrary. Trump can play on people's fears about trans athletes and illegal immigrants, who don't have any impact on the lives of almost every American. Rural and suburban dwellers fear cities even though crime is way down.

Most Americans don't even know how the government or the economy works. So if the price of eggs rises, they believe the president is at fault. Yet, when policy makers work to deregulate water safety and people develop diseases and die as a result, they can't comprehend the government's impact.

Fundamentally, the electorate needs to become more knowledgeable at the very moment it's becoming much less so. This is the main issue that needs to be solved.